Biden, how long can Sanders last in the next city？

　　Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, March 11th (Global Hotspot) How long will Biden last in Sanders?

　　Xinhua news agency reporter

　　Six states, including Michigan, held a pre-election for the presidential election on the 10th. According to export polls, Democratic presidential candidate and former Vice President Biden has won four states, including Michigan, the most important of the six states.

　　Analysts pointed out that although Biden lagged behind Democratic Senator Sanders at the beginning of the primary election, he gradually came from behind and now he has expanded his lead. For Saunders, this defeat means that the campaign pressure is further increased, and he will face last stand in several state primaries next week.

　　News fact

　　Michigan has always been a "battleground for military strategists" in the pre-election of the US presidential election. In 2016, Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton, the main rival at that time. However, this time he lost to Biden in the "blessed land".

　　From the results, although Sanders has received more support from young voters under 40 and Hispanic voters, voters of other age groups, especially those over 65, have also supported Biden. Biden also won the support of more white voters and African-American voters.

　　Biden also won the primaries in Mississippi, Missouri and Idaho that day. It is reported that two-thirds of voters in Mississippi are African-American, and 80% of them voted for Biden. The counting of votes in Washington and North Dakota is still in progress, and Sanders is temporarily in the lead.

　　A total of 352 "promised delegates" were produced by the Democratic Party’s pre-selection in the above six states, of which 249 were produced in the four states with the final results, including 125 in Michigan. At the Democratic National Congress scheduled to be held in July this year, the "promised representatives" of each state will basically vote for the corresponding candidates according to the results of the state’s pre-selection. According to the relevant rules, Biden’s "commitment representatives" of the four States won this time should all vote for him.

　　[Depth analysis]

　　Biden’s victory reflects the eagerness of Democratic voters to defeat current President Trump in the general election. Diao Daming, an associate professor at the School of International Studies at Renmin University of China, pointed out that Biden’s leading edge in the pre-selection is expanding, which is the result of the Democratic voters’ fear of Trump’s re-election and the fear that Sanders cannot defeat Trump. Voters hope to end the pre-election as soon as possible and ensure that Biden will be nominated for the Democratic presidential nomination, so as to increase the chances of winning the election.

　　It should be pointed out that Sanders still enjoys a high support rate among some voters, and the gap between him and Biden is not irreparable. Therefore, the results of these six States cannot be finalized for the Democratic Party’s primary election. However, if Sanders wants to win the Democratic presidential nomination, he needs to turn the tide in the primaries of Florida, Illinois and Ohio next week.

　　Diao Daming said that Florida is particularly crucial among these States, and it is hard to imagine that a candidate who can’t win the Florida primary can enter the White House. If Sanders falls far behind in the state primaries, he will have little hope of winning the Democratic presidential nomination. However, from the existing polls, the current election situation in the state is relatively favorable to Biden.

　　[instant comment]

　　The U.S. stock market plummeted, and some areas entered a state of emergency. The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on American politics, economy and society is gradually emerging, which is bound to affect the general election. On the one hand, the epidemic tests the Trump administration’s ability to deal with emergency public events; On the other hand, under the magnifying glass of the epidemic, the policies of the candidates in medical insurance, urban management and immigration will be particularly concerned by voters.

　　[Background link]

　　The intra-party pre-election of the democratic and Republican parties in the United States began on February 3. Since other Republican candidates are not competitive, there is no suspense for Trump to win the nomination. However, the competition within the Democratic Party is fierce. After several rounds of "fighting", many candidates, including the former mayor of new york and billionaire Bloomberg, have already withdrawn from the election. At present, Biden and Sanders are basically competing for hegemony.

　　At the beginning of the pre-selection, Biden once fell behind Sanders in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and other States, but on February 29, he made a "turnaround" in South Carolina and won 10 States in the 14-state pre-selection held on March 3, establishing a leading edge.

　　According to the rules of the Democratic Party’s primary election this year, if a candidate can get the support of more than half of the "pledged delegates" in the first round of voting at the National Congress in July, he will be directly nominated as the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate. Otherwise, 771 "super delegates", including members of the National Committee of the Democratic Party and members of the Democratic Party Congress, will join in the voting and hold one or more rounds of voting with the "promised delegates" until someone gets more than half of the votes required for nomination. (Participating in reporters: Sun Ding, Liu Si; Editor: Zhu Ruiqing, Liu Zan, Ma Xiaoyan)